Croakamantic Betting Pool

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Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby bladestorm » Fri Dec 14, 2012 3:33 pm

Transferred from the Amateur Predictamancy thread.

First pool! 1Q buyin for once choice. 24 hour lapse between buyins, just like with the next magic user to be named.

Who is going to croak next*?

Pool value: 10

Olive Branch (claimed by Sir_Dr_D)
Overlady Judy (claimed by drachefly)
King Banhammer
Queen Jillian Zamussels
Duncan Scone
Stanley the Tool
Sizemore Rockwell (claimed by bladestorm)
Maggie
Jack Snipe (unclaimed, bond posted Book 2 Episode 105)
Wanda Firebaugh (claimed by WhirdCheese)
Lady Sylvia Lazarus (unclaimed, bond posted Book 2 Episode 102)
K.C.
Ansom
Parson Gotti
Zhopa
Vurp
Mung
King Slately 2.0 (aka Clonely) (claimed by bladestorm)
Prince Tramennis
Duke Adam Antium (claimed by drachefly)
Duke Lacrosse
Captain Price
Countess Artemis
Cubbins (claimed by WhirdCheese)
Ace Hardware (claimed by bladestorm)
Lloyd
Pierce
Janis
Ken
Jeftichew
Bowie
Spenser
Uhura
Marie Lavraie
Hubble
Duke Nozzle
Don King
Bunny
Vinny Doombats
Caesar Borgata
Al Frappacino
Dewy Tulips
Leather Valese
Benjamin
Wrigley
Charlie (claimed by WhirdCheese)
Adderall Hawk
Betsy Murgatroyd
Labeler
Moothfott
Orwell (claimed by drachefly)
Rusty Trombone

*'Next' implying temporal relativity to the original posting of this pool, whether it is in Book 0 or Book 2. If the character is already croaked in Book 2, but still very much alive in Book 0, the bid is for when they croak in Book 0. If Jillian gets notified that some of the casters died when Haffaton assaulted FAQ, that doesn't count since the assault was depicted as prior to this posting (we just have not had the body count for that assault, and it may be all a ruse anyway. Olive could have used a Lookamancy spell to spy on Faq, saw those plants and used Flower Power to grow her own version). And we need actual depiction/confirmation of the croaking -- no presumed dead. Because it can be difficult to have such proof in this comic, we can let this roll until we have that proof. We had no proof that Cubbins was dead, but some of us assumed he was. So, if someone had bet on Cubbins, and someone else had bet on Slately, whoever bet on Slately would have won, since it was confirmed that Slately's body lay in state upon yon rooftop. Ossomer dusting, Archer dusting, Overlord Firebaugh promoting Wanda and then the entire Side ending, Bogroll leveling twice from killing Ansom, Bogroll being dismembered and burned, Bea entering the portal and the entire Side ending, Ossomer getting stabbed by Sylvia (who leveled) and becoming decrypted, and Stanely's statement of "Manpower bit it at Warchalking. I need you to uncroak him" all count as confirmation. When Jillian wakes up as a barbarian, that's confirmation that Banhammer has croaked. Several presumed dead Spacerock personnel are included on the chance of decryption and dusting. In an event such as the volcano trap, special rulings will need to take place, since literally everyone involved died at the exact same time. List was compiled from the wiki page, so if that's still wrong, someone with more wiki-savvy than me needs to fix while I update this post (unless there's a chance of them showing up as decrypted, in which case them getting dusted counts).
Last edited by bladestorm on Fri Mar 22, 2013 11:07 pm, edited 9 times in total.
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby No one in particular » Fri Dec 14, 2012 7:17 pm

Aren't a few of the people you listed already dead?

Ford & Captain Twenty both got killed by Tramennis on the way back to Spacerock (Crushed by Irony, remember? (LIAB Text 24))
Sammy got killed before Jillian captured Ansom (LIAB 27)
Artemis got an arrow through the eye by a lucky shot from Archer (LIAB Text 52)

I can see there being a tiny bit of wriggle room for Wrigley, since his death wasn't specifically mentioned, but being in an unled stack of stabbers up against a bunch of Jetstone Warlords and Heavies with a Prince as well...

—Edit—
Where did you get this from on the wiki? I'll update it when I get a chance.
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby bladestorm » Fri Dec 14, 2012 10:18 pm

No one in particular wrote:Aren't a few of the people you listed already dead?

Ford & Captain Twenty both got killed by Tramennis on the way back to Spacerock (Crushed by Irony, remember? (LIAB Text 24))
Sammy got killed before Jillian captured Ansom (LIAB 27)
Artemis got an arrow through the eye by a lucky shot from Archer (LIAB Text 52)

I can see there being a tiny bit of wriggle room for Wrigley, since his death wasn't specifically mentioned, but being in an unled stack of stabbers up against a bunch of Jetstone Warlords and Heavies with a Prince as well...

—Edit—
Where did you get this from on the wiki? I'll update it when I get a chance.

But they died this turn and have a chance of being decrypted, and then dusted, which would count. I so want to see Artemis standing alongside Sylvia as battle sisters rather than opponents.
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby No one in particular » Sat Dec 15, 2012 1:30 am

Ford, Twenty and Wrigley were decrypted though, and therefore dusted rather than croaked. They, at least, shouldn't be on the list.
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby bladestorm » Sat Dec 15, 2012 10:50 am

No one in particular wrote:Aren't a few of the people you listed already dead?

Ford & Captain Twenty both got killed by Tramennis on the way back to Spacerock (Crushed by Irony, remember? (LIAB Text 24))
Sammy got killed before Jillian captured Ansom (LIAB 27)
Artemis got an arrow through the eye by a lucky shot from Archer (LIAB Text 52)

I can see there being a tiny bit of wriggle room for Wrigley, since his death wasn't specifically mentioned, but being in an unled stack of stabbers up against a bunch of Jetstone Warlords and Heavies with a Prince as well...

—Edit—
Where did you get this from on the wiki? I'll update it when I get a chance.

http://www.erfworld.com/wiki/index.php/ ... Characters
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby drachefly » Sat Dec 15, 2012 7:29 pm

Anyway, I picked Judy.
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby bladestorm » Sat Dec 15, 2012 9:05 pm

Updated the list to remove dusted entities. The way this is working out, I can add new names as they become available, and I can reset the pool value when the prize is claimed, allowing this to keep rolling.


Also claimed Ace.
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby Sir_Dr_D » Tue Dec 18, 2012 11:42 pm

I will bet on Olive Branch.
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby drachefly » Wed Dec 19, 2012 10:24 am

Looking over the list, there are some really bad bets in there, like Banhammer, and Parson. Sheesh. Anyway, I was going to go with Olive, but she's been taken, so nm.
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby bladestorm » Wed Dec 19, 2012 10:36 am

I'll take Clonely, then. I know his time is up soon, all I need is for no one else on the list to die before then.
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby drachefly » Thu Dec 27, 2012 3:29 pm

Looks like Bladestorm just won with Ace. Not confirmed yet, but looks that way. If so, he won 2q and I and Sir_Dr_D lost 1 each.
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby Sir_Dr_D » Wed Feb 13, 2013 6:08 pm

Interesting that no one picked Sylvia. She was the first to go.

Next up is probably going to be a close race between Olive and Clonely.
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby WhirdCheese » Thu Feb 14, 2013 9:13 am

Cubbins is next to die.
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby bladestorm » Thu Feb 14, 2013 11:02 am

Updated the list to account for Sylvia's *PARCH*. Looks like there are a few new contenders, namely Jack and Orwell. Just for gamesmanship, I'll wait until at least two others have a second pick before I opt for my third.
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby drachefly » Thu Feb 14, 2013 6:00 pm

Antium
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby WhirdCheese » Thu Feb 14, 2013 9:27 pm

Doubt it's Jack.

Going for Wanda. Splinter in the Magic Kingdom may cause firing. And some of it hits wanda. Sie sind tot.
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby Whispri » Sun Feb 24, 2013 2:33 pm

I'd have bet on Orwell, but it seemed too mean to do so at this late stage. Anyway, that's one more to scratch off the list... although I suppose we haven't had his death confirmed yet...

Also, hasn't Wrigely died twice already?
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby Sir_Dr_D » Sun Feb 24, 2013 4:00 pm

It was heavily implied that Wrigely died but it wasn't confirmed. There is always the possibility he was captured.
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby drachefly » Sun Feb 24, 2013 6:45 pm

Dimly possible. Wrigley was seen on the ground after Ansom was captured.
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Re: Croakamantic Betting Pool

Postby WhirdCheese » Sun Feb 24, 2013 9:09 pm

Charlie! He's right after Wanda!
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