Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby Lipkin » Fri Jun 27, 2014 6:55 am

drachefly wrote:Uh, you agree with both Lipkin and Mortissimus, so no bet there.

I won't take that bet, but I am 90% confident that Forecastle's learning results in effective improvement in his performance at sea.

Sure, I'd be surprised if that wasn't the way things turned out. But I don't think he'll get a special.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby drachefly » Fri Jun 27, 2014 11:17 am

I'm 75% confident he could, but don't know whether we'll find that out, so I don't know how to structure such a bet.

If he extensively continues training (a week, say), I'm 60% confident that he will gain the seafarer special at his next level (30q max, if we see him level after a week of training and before the end of the story). <- withdrawn
Last edited by drachefly on Mon Jun 30, 2014 9:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby MadZuri » Sun Jun 29, 2014 12:10 am

WTH, I'll take both of your bets on a long shot. My 20 q's versus your combined 10 that he gains the seafarer special. This is of course including the possibility that he gets a ruler or CWL manual upgrade. Pretty sure I have the budget to afford that. Too drunk to calculate (might be the reason I'm willing to take the risk) but this thread needs more love and attention.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby Taikei no Yuurei » Sun Jun 29, 2014 1:12 am

MadZuri wrote:WTH, I'll take both of your bets on a long shot. My 20 q's versus your combined 10 that he gains the seafarer special. This is of course including the possibility that he gets a ruler or CWL manual upgrade. Pretty sure I have the budget to afford that. Too drunk to calculate (might be the reason I'm willing to take the risk) but this thread needs more love and attention.

Who are you talking to? mortissimus and Lipkin have both already had their bets taken by CarniDollMancer, and would have been their combined 20 to your 10.

Nakedkali wrote:Mortissimus's bet has been taken, so I will take Lipkin's bet. Artemis was pretty determined, but we never saw her get a special. I think it's not possible.

CarniDollMancer took Lipkin's bet as well as Mortissiums's. Also, as Drachefly pointed out, you agree with Mortissiums and Lipkin that he won't get a special.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby MadZuri » Sun Jun 29, 2014 10:51 am

Taikei no Yuurei wrote:Who are you talking to? mortissimus and Lipkin have both already had their bets taken by CarniDollMancer, and would have been their combined 20 to your 10.
Evidently nobody, disregard last post.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby khamul » Mon Jul 14, 2014 12:41 pm

I will offer 10Q to your 10Q that the way Anchorbar is sinking ships is *not* a seafarer special inversion.
By a seafarer special inversion I mean some effect that causes non-seafarers to become seafarers and vice versa.

I will offer 10Q to your 20Q that the effect sinking ships is *not* a magical effect that only targets seafarer units.
Specifically, I mean something like a siren song that controls the minds of units with seafarer, but not those without. Rules exploits would not count, and seafarer unit superstition would not count as I consider these mechanical system effects, not magical effects. Bet is null and void if both parties agree that it's not clear either way.

I will offer 20Q to your 10Q that a Quakken is a giant duck.

Bet is null and void if we don't find out by the end of the current Forecastle story (unlikely as that seems - except the Quakken one).
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